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Farense Vitória Guimarães betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

With Rui Borges no longer in charge, it is difficult to predict whether Vitória SC will stick to the same style of play. Most likely, yes, as the departure of their coach is very recent, and everything points to a Vitória that will resemble the one we have seen. On the other hand, Farense is a team that tends to produce games with few goals when playing at home. In their last five matches, only against Benfica did they see more than one goal. However, this match is expected to exceed one goal. Firstly, because Farense needs points, and secondly, because Vitória has been a very capable team offensively. Therefore, the bet for this game would be Vitória to win or draw, with more than 1.5 goals.
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Preview
Farense and Guimarães face at Estádio de São Lúis, in a match for the 16th round of the Primeira Liga. In 5 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 2 and tied 3. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 10‑07‑2024, and ended in a (6‑1) win by Vitória SC. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Farense

After 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses, the home team is in the 17th position, havinf won 12 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Famalicão by (1‑2), after in the previous match they have lost (0‑1) at home, against Gil Vicente. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses at their stadium. In the last 7 home league matches Farense has a record of 2 wins and 5 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 21 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

The Farense team has already managed to recover from two consecutive games without a win. This is a team fighting against relegation, so it is perfectly natural that most of their matches do not end in victories. However, the biggest issue for the Faro Lions was their six-match winless streak, which set them back significantly in their battle. Therefore, when they drew one game and lost another, it was no surprise that they hit rock bottom again. But their reaction was quick, and in the last round, Farense managed to secure a 1-2 win away at Famalicão. Now, in Round 16, they are preparing to host Vitória SC, one of the strong teams in Liga Portugal.

Confirmed Lineup: Ricardo Velho, Marco Moreno, Lucas Áfrico, Derick Poloni, D. Custódio Lima, Claudio Falcão, Neto, Miguel Pedro Miranda Oliveira Menino, Marco Matias, Elves, Darío Poveda.
Coach: J. Ferreira da Mota.

Analysis Guimarães

The away team is currently in the 6th position of the league, with 22 points won, after 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Rio Ave, by (2‑2). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Nacional, by (2‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 26 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 31 goals scored and 11 conceded. In the last 8 away league matches Guimarães has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 24 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 5 away matches. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 1‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 9 of their 23 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

Vitória SC has lost one of its key assets, its coach Rui Borges, who signed with Sporting. This is the main factor influencing their trip to Faro to face Farense. The Vitoria side arrives at this match after three consecutive draws, one of which was against Fiorentina in a UEFA Europa League match. This team has shown a very positive attitude, and it is rare for them to play a game without scoring at least two goals. In fact, in their last four matches, the "both teams to score" market has been successful. This trip to Farense's ground does not look easy for Vitória, especially given that the team, now led by Tozé Marreco, is much more competitive than when the new coach first took charge.

Confirmed Lineup: Bruno Varela, Alberto Oliveira Baio, Mikel Villanueva, J. Teixeira Mendes, Oscar Rivas, Manuel Jorge Silva, Mendes, Nuno Santos, Tiago Silva, Gustavo da Silva Cunha, Kaio César Andrade Lima.
Coach: Moreno.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Farense vs Guimarães match, on 29 December 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Vitória de Guimarães or Draw and Over 1.5 Goals ⇒ bet available on 10bet.

The Farense vs Guimarães on 29 December 2024 will be played at Faro, Estádio de São Lúis.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Farense Guimarães match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Guimarães at with 48% of the tips.

 

Primeira Liga - 2024/2025

  • 49% 151 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 45.7%
  • Draws 27.15%
  • Away team wins 27.15%
  • Over 1.5 71.52%
  • Over 2.5 47.68%
  • Over 3.5 26.49%
  • Goals 389
  • Goals /match 2.58
  • Goals /match home 1.43
  • Goals /match away 1.15
  • Both teams score 45.03%
  • Goals after 80' 17.22%
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