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Unión Comercio Melgar betting prediction
 Unión Comercio |
|  Melgar |
Betting suggestion:
Unión Comercio will attempt to take control of the match in this round. The visiting team is expected to attack with determination. This promises to be an action-packed game, so we will bet on there being over 2.5 goals in the match.
Preview
Unión Comercio and Melgar meet at Estadio IPD de Nueva Cajamarca, in a match for the 5th round of the Primera División. In 3 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 2 and tied 1. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 24‑02‑2024, and ended in a draw by (2‑1). Unión Comercio registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.
Analysis Unión Comercio
The home team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 1 point won, after 1 win, 8 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Carlos Mannucci, by (0‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Alianza Lima, by (1‑0). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 3 draws and 11 losses in away matches; against 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses at their stadium. For the league, Unión Comercio won 7 points out of 27 possible points, after 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses in the last 9 home matches.
They haven’t won any of the last 14 matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 7 of the last 9 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 5 of the last 20 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 3 of those 5 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. They have conceded the first goal in 13 of their 20 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.
They haven’t won any of the last 14 matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 7 of the last 9 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 5 of the last 20 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 3 of those 5 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. They have conceded the first goal in 13 of their 20 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.
Unión Comercio is the only team yet to secure a win in the Clausura, reflecting its poor performance this season. The threat of relegation looms large, making a turnaround urgently needed. It's clear they need to earn three points in this round, but only by showcasing an unprecedented level of football will they have a chance to surprise Melgar. Their last victory was at the beginning of March, which means it's been five months since they last tasted success.
Confirmed Lineup: Willy Arnold Díaz Shupingahua, Joaquín Aguirre, Roberto Villamarín, Denilson Vargas, Teodoro Paredes, Kelvin Sánchez, Piero Serra, Miguel Carranza, Hernán Pérez, Marlon de Jesús, Erinson Ramirez.
Coach: N. Craviotto.
Analysis Melgar
The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 9 points won, after 14 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Alianza Atlético, by (3‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Universitario, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 25 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 32 goals scored and 13 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Melgar has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 17 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 17 of the last 21 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in front in 10 of those 17 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 15 of them. In the last 10 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 8 of their 21 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
Even at the top of the table, Melgar knows it can't afford any slip-ups. The Clausura is highly competitive, so even away from home, they can't drop points, especially against a weaker opponent. The team has been playing consistently well and boasts an efficient attack, which works in their favor. If they manage to execute their strategy correctly, their chances of securing a victory are very high.
Confirmed Lineup: Carlos Cáceda, Leonel González, Paolo Reyna, Leonel Galeano, Matías Fernando Lazo Zapata, Tomás Martínez, Alexis Arias, Kevin Sandoval, Jean Pierre Archimbaud, Bernardo Cuesta, Cristian Bordacahar.
Coach: N. Lorenzo.
Frequently asked questions
👉 Which is the recommended bet for the Unión Comercio Melgar match?
The tip and bet suggestion for the Unión Comercio vs Melgar match, on 4 August 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Over 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.
👉 In which stadium will the Unión Comercio Melgar be played?
The Unión Comercio vs Melgar on 4 August 2024 will be played at Nueva Cajamarca, Estadio IPD de Nueva Cajamarca.
Primera División
Primera División - 2024
- 100% 306 / 306 Games
- Home team wins 52.29%
- Draws 25.49%
- Away team wins 22.22%
- Over 1.5 75.49%
- Over 2.5 49.35%
- Over 3.5 27.78%
- Goals 813
- Goals /match 2.66
- Goals /match home 1.64
- Goals /match away 1.02
- Both teams score 48.69%
- Goals after 80' 21.28%
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