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AZ II MVV betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This is a clash between teams in their worst position on the field. Jong AZ play at home, but have scored more points away from home. They still have the third best attacking record, but they also have the second worst defense in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025. MVV, meanwhile, are the league's worst visitors and the third team to concede the most goals away from home. That's why we're betting on Over 0.5 Goals in the 1st Half and Over 2.5 Goals in the game, something that has happened in 6 of Jong AZ's 8 home games and in 3 of MVV's 8 away games.
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Preview
AZ II and MVV meet at AFAS Trainingscomplex, in a match for the 17th round of the Eerste Divisie. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 2, tied 1 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Eerste Divisie, on 03‑05‑2024, MVV Maastricht won by (2‑3). Jorn Berkhout (55' ) and Ro‑Zangelo Daal (8' ) scored for AZ II and Nabil El Basri (35' ), Dailon Rocha Livramento (43' ) and Bryan Smeets (86' ) for MVV. MVV registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis AZ II

The home team is currently in the 13th position of the league, with 18 points won, after 5 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against ADO Den Haag, by (3‑3). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Jong PSV, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. For the league, AZ II won 8 points out of 24 possible points, after 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the last 8 home matches.

They haven’t won any of the last 6 home matches for this competition. The most recurrent final score in their home league matches was the 2‑3 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Jong AZ is a reserve team that plays in the Eerste Divisie solely to give experience to young players who are being groomed to join AZ Alkmaar's main squad for the Eredivisie and other elite competitions. The team stands out for having the third best attacking record in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025 (20 goals scored in 8 appearances at their stadium, an average of 2.5 goals scored per home game). However, defensively they are the second worst team overall (32 goals conceded, an average of exactly 2 goals conceded per match) and at home they are even worse (17 goals conceded in total and an average of 2.1 goals conceded per home match). Jong AZ have the highest average possession rate in the league (58.3%). Coach Lee-Roy Echteld has no known absentees and will be able to repeat his previous starting line-up, based on a 4-2-3-1 tactical formation, with Hobie Verhulst in particular coming into the starting line-up after Daniel Deen emerged as the competition's leakiest goalkeeper (average of 2.6 goals conceded per game).

Confirmed Lineup: Tristan Kuijsten, Misha Engel, Jeremiah Esajas, Jurre van Aken, Lewis Schouten, J. Berkhout, Job Kalisvaart, Ro-Zangelo Daal, Jayden Addai, Lequincio Zeefuik, Jayen Gerold.
Coach: M. Vonk.

Analysis MVV

The away team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 16 points won, after 3 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against FC Eindhoven, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against FC Dordrecht, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 15 conceded. In the last 8 away league matches MVV has a record of 4 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 24 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 8 away matches. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (4 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 1‑1 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 5 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 9 away matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (46'‑60'); they have conceded 6 of their 15 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

MVV are unbeaten in 3 games after 2 draws and a win last time out, but they have the worst away record in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025 (just 16% with 4 points from 8 away games). The poor performance away from home is directly related to the fact that MVV have the third worst away attack (8 goals in 8 matches, i.e. an average of exactly 1 goal scored per away game) and also the third worst away defense (15 goals conceded in total and an average of 1.8 goals conceded per away game). The team has the third worst average possession rate in the league (44.7%) and therefore ends up being attacked a lot, making them the second worst tacklers (19.9 tackles per game). Coach Edwin Hermans could repeat his previous starting line-up, based on the 4-3-3 tactical formation, as his only absentee is right midfielder Ayman Kassimi, who has been injured since matchday 12 on 27-10-2024. MVV's standout player is Belgian Romain Matthys, the third most-saved goalkeeper in the league (average of exactly 5 saves per appearance).

Confirmed Lineup: Romain Matthys, Ozgur Aktas, Tim Zeegers, Lars Schenk, Wout Coomans, Ilano Silva Timas, Stan Van Dessel, Marko Kleinen, Bryan Smeets, Camil Mmaee, Rayan Buifrahi.
Coach: K. Wels.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the AZ II vs MVV match, on 2 December 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: More than 0.5 Goals in the 1st Half and More than 2.5 Goals in the Match ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The AZ II vs MVV on 2 December 2024 will be played at Wijdewormer, AFAS Trainingscomplex.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.79%
  • Draws 23.16%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 80.26%
  • Over 2.5 59.74%
  • Over 3.5 38.16%
  • Goals 1146
  • Goals /match 3.02
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.32
  • Both teams score 53.95%
  • Goals after 80' 17.89%
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