Toluca Puebla betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Toluca wants to showcase good football in this round to secure three points. The visitors will aim to score and attack with intent to earn points. The expectation is for a lively match with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities. We will bet that both teams find the net.
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Preview
Toluca and Puebla meet at Estadio Nemesio Díez, in a match for the 13th round of the Liga MX. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history indicates total balance between these two teams, since there is a record of 3 draws and 1 win for each team in the last 5 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium was on 01‑11‑2023, in a match for the Liga MX, Puebla won by (0‑1). The only goal of the match was scored by Guillermo Martínez (78' ). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Toluca

After 7 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, the home team is in the 2nd position, havinf won 25 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Querétaro by (0‑1), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) at home, against Pumas UNAM. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded; against 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 35 goals scored and 12 conceded. In the last 6 home league matches Toluca has a record of 5 wins and 1 draw, so they have won 16 points out of 18 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 6 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 12 of the last 18 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 9 of the last 12 matches for the Liga MX, they have reached half‑time in front in 8 of those 9 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 7 of them.

Toluca has been having a great campaign, with only one defeat so far and occupying the top part of the table. Their attack has been one of their strengths, ensuring good offensive productivity. If they maintain their current performance, they are the favourites to win the match. Playing at home, the team should impose themselves from the start, exploiting their technical and collective superiority. Additionally, the home advantage and the good form the team is experiencing provide even more confidence to seek the three points and continue their positive trajectory in the competition.

Confirmed Lineup: Tiago Volpi, Brian García Carpizo, Jesús Gallardo, Luan, Andrés Pereira Castelnoble, Jesús Ricardo Angulo, Marcel Ruíz, Claudio Baeza, Alexis Vega, Isaías Violante Romero, Paulinho.
Coach: R. Cristante Mandarino.

Analysis Puebla

The away team is currently in the 13th position of the league, with 11 points won, after 3 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Tigres UANL, by (1‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Cruz Azul, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 losses in away matches, with 12 goals scored and 35 conceded; against 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 31 conceded. In the last 5 away league matches Puebla has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 15 possible. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (2 out of 5 matches) and after the 90' 1‑0 (2 out of 5 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 13 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 17 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 14 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Puebla is going through a tough phase, with a campaign below expectations and a defense showing vulnerabilities. The team needs to be more solid defensively, especially in this round, where caution and organization will be crucial. Prioritizing marking and avoiding leaving spaces for Toluca will be essential to seek a positive result. Although a victory is necessary to break out of the bad phase, a draw against a strong opponent could be considered a good result, especially after the recent defeats that have shaken the team's morale.

Confirmed Lineup: Miguel Jiménez, Gustavo Ferrareis, Efrain Orona, Emanuel Gularte Méndez, Brayan Angulo, Facundo Waller Martiarena, Diego De Buen, Pablo González, Emiliano Gómez, Luis Quiñones, Ángel Robles Guerrero.
Coach: J. de la Torre Menchaca.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Toluca vs Puebla match, on 23 October 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Both teams score? Yes ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Toluca vs Puebla on 23 October 2024 will be played at Toluca de Lerdo, Estadio Nemesio Díez.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Toluca Puebla match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Toluca at with 88% of the tips.

 

Liga MX - 2024/2025

  • 83% 269 / 323 Games

  • Home team wins 49.07%
  • Draws 23.42%
  • Away team wins 27.51%
  • Over 1.5 75.84%
  • Over 2.5 54.65%
  • Over 3.5 29%
  • Goals 745
  • Goals /match 2.77
  • Goals /match home 1.62
  • Goals /match away 1.15
  • Both teams score 54.65%
  • Goals after 80' 18.39%
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