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Sampaio Corrêa RJ Portuguesa RJ betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Sampaio Corrêa (7th) host Portuguesa (11th) in this match of the final round of the first phase of the 2025 Campeonato Carioca, and the game is expected to be open in the search for victory. Playing at home, Sampaio Corrêa need three points to guarantee their place in the Rio Cup without depending on other results, and could even qualify for the semi-finals of the Carioca Championship if they win. On the other side, Portuguesa have nothing to lose: they have no chance of being relegated and need all three points if they are to have a chance of qualifying for the Rio Cup. Therefore, we believe there is a high probability that the net will swing 2 or more times in this match, considering Sampaio Corrêa average two goals scored and/or conceded per match, and Portuguesa score or concede just over three goals per match.
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Preview
Sampaio Corrêa and Portuguesa meet at Estádio Lourival Gomes de Almeida, in a match for this stage of the Carioca 1 (Taça Guanabara). The recent head‑to‑head record favours the away team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 matches. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 24‑01‑2024, and ended in a (1‑0) win by Portuguesa RJ. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Sampaio Corrêa

The home team is currently in the 7th position, with 13 points won, after 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate round, they have tied a home match against Vasco da Gama by (0‑0). In the last round, they have lost a home match against Volta Redonda by (1‑3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 17 goals scored and 19 conceded. Sampaio Corrêa registers 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 4 home matches for the Carioca 1. They have conceded the first goal in 4 of their 10 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

Sampaio Corrêa head into the final round of the first phase of the 2025 Campeonato Carioca motivated by the fact that they only need themselves to qualify for the Rio Cup. With three wins, four draws and three defeats in ten rounds, Sampaio Corrêa are in 7th position, one point ahead of the current 9th-placed team (first out of the Rio Cup qualifying zone). Therefore, the team's expectation is certainly to take advantage of the home factor in this round to get a win that, depending on a combination of other results, could even take Sampaio Corrêa to the semi-finals of the Carioca Championship.

Confirmed Lineup: Zé Carlos, Ryan Silva de Andrade Viana Toledo, Eduardo Higino da Silva, Guilherme, Luan, Daniel Nunes Ribeiro, Pablo, Alexandre Souza Domingues, Elias, Octávio, Maswel Ananias Silva.
Coach: A. Da Silva Junior.

Analysis Portuguesa

The away team is currently in the 11th position, with 10 points won, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses. In the penultimate round, they have tied an away match against Boavista by (2‑2). In the last round, they have won a home match against CFRJ / Marica by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 18 conceded. In their last match, for the Copa do Brasil, they got an away loss against Capital Brasilia by (5‑3), after a penalty shootout. In the last 5 Carioca 1 away matches Portuguesa has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 4 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 2 of the last 10 matches for the Carioca 1, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 2 matches and held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in all of them. In 10 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 18 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 10 of their 25 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Portuguesa go into this final round of the first phase of the Carioca Championship needing to win to have a small chance of qualifying for the Rio Cup. With three wins, one draw and six defeats in ten rounds, Portuguesa are in penultimate position (11th), but have a six-point advantage over bottom-placed Bangu, who are already mathematically relegated, and are three points clear of the current 6th, 7th and 8th-placed teams (the last in the Rio Cup qualifying zone). However, as well as playing away from home, Portuguesa will be shaken by their elimination from the Copa do Brasil in their last match, in the first round of the competition, having been beaten on penalties after a goalless draw in normal time.

Confirmed Lineup: Douglas Borges, Lucas Mota, Marcus Vinicius, Thomas, Victor Pereira, Kaike, Henrique Rocha Santos Pereira, João Paulo, Wellington, Lohan, Romarinho.
Coach: D. de Souza Ferreira.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Sampaio Corrêa vs Portuguesa match, on 23 February 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Over 1,5 goals ⇒ bet available on 10bet.

The Sampaio Corrêa vs Portuguesa on 23 February 2025 will be played at Saquarema, Estádio Lourival Gomes de Almeida.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Sampaio Corrêa Portuguesa match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Sampaio Corrêa at with 71% of the tips.

 

Carioca 1 - 2025

  • 90% 63 / 70 Games

  • Home team wins 38.1%
  • Draws 33.33%
  • Away team wins 28.57%
  • Over 1.5 68.25%
  • Over 2.5 36.51%
  • Over 3.5 17.46%
  • Goals 135
  • Goals /match 2.14
  • Goals /match home 1.16
  • Goals /match away 0.98
  • Both teams score 42.86%
  • Goals after 80' 22.96%
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