This site uses cookies. When you browse the site you are consenting to its use. Know more.

Fluminense Flamengo betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

As we can observe, the expectation for this Carioca derby between Fluminense and Flamengo is that there will be 2 or more goals scored. The market has favored this outcome in all 3 Carioca classics played this year: one in the Supercopa do Brasil (Flamengo 3-1 Botafogo) and the other two in the Campeonato Carioca (Botafogo 2-1 Fluminense and Fluminense 2-1 Vasco). Therefore, considering this is a crucial match for the aspirations of these two giants of Rio de Janeiro football, the expectation is for an open game with plenty of goals. Flamengo is looking for a win to strengthen its position at the top of the table in this first phase, while Fluminense hopes to use the home advantage to secure a victory that could propel them into the semifinal qualification zone.
 
There are more free betting tips, see ALL future tips available!
Preview
Fluminense and Flamengo meet at Estádio Figueira de Melo, in a match for this stage of the Carioca 1 (Taça Guanabara). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 8 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in the last 18 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 18‑10‑2024, in a match for the Serie A, Fluminense won by (0‑2). The goals of the match were scored by Lima (50' ) and Jhon Arias (60' ) for Fluminense. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Fluminense

After 2 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, the home team is currently in the 6th position, with 10 points won. In the last match, they have won (1‑2) in an away match against Vasco da Gama, after in the previous round they have tied (1‑1) at home against Boavista. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. In the last 10 home matches Fluminense has won 3, tied 6 and lost 1. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition. Goals have been frequent in their home matches, as 14 of the last 34 have ended with Under 1,5 goals and 22 out of 34 have ended with Under 2,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 2 of the last 8 matches for the Carioca 1, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 2 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. In 8 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only turned the score around in 1. there are 2 periods that stand out in the last 20 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 9 of their 20 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have suffered 6 of their 12 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Fluminense heads into this 9th round of the Campeonato Carioca full of motivation after securing their second win of the competition in their last match, a classic away against Vasco. Besides the motivation of defeating a big rival, who hadn’t lost at home in this competition since 2021, Fluminense earned crucial points to stay alive in the hunt for a spot in the quarterfinals. Currently, with 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses in 8 rounds, Fluminense is 2 points behind and has 1 more match played than 4th-placed Nova Iguaçu, the last team in the qualification zone for the semifinals.
 

Confirmed Lineup: Fábio, Guga, Thiago Silva, Gabriel Fuentes, Ignacio, Jhon Arias, Matheus Martinelli, Hércules Pereira do Nascimento, Riquelme Felipe Silva de Almeida, Agustín Canobbio, Germán Cano.
Coach: F. Diniz Silva.

Analysis Flamengo

The away team is currently in the 1st position, with 13 points won, after 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. In the penultimate round, they have won a home match agaisnt Sampaio Corrêa RJ by (2‑0). In the last round, they have won an away match against Portuguesa RJ by (0‑5). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins and 6 draws in away matches, with 26 goals scored and 4 conceded; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 4 Carioca 1 away matches Flamengo has a record of 3 wins and 1 draw.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 wins in the last matches and they haven't lost any of the last 4 away matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 7 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have conceded 6 of their 14 goals between minutes (76'‑90') and 5 of their 14 goals between (46'‑60').

Flamengo enters this 9th round of the 2025 Campeonato Carioca riding a wave of momentum, having won their last 4 matches. After a shaky start with the B team, which resulted in just 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the first 4 rounds, the team has been flawless since the debut of coach Filipe Luís and the main squad in the competition. It's also worth noting that Flamengo recently contested the Supercopa do Brasil, after winning the Copa do Brasil 2024, and triumphed over Botafogo (the 2024 Campeonato Brasileiro champions) with a 3-1 victory, securing their first title of 2025. Given this form, it’s safe to consider them the favorites to win the upcoming classic against Fluminense.
 

Confirmed Lineup: Agustín Rossi, Léo Pereira, Alex Sandro, Wesley Vinicius França Lima, Léo Ortiz, Erick Pulgar, Michael Delgado, Gerson, Gonzalo Plata, Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araújo, Bruno Henrique.
Coach: F. Kasmirski.

There are more free betting tips, see ALL future tips available! NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Fluminense vs Flamengo match, on 8 February 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Over 1,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Fluminense vs Flamengo on 8 February 2025 will be played at Rio de Janeiro, Estádio Figueira de Melo.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Fluminense Flamengo match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Flamengo at with 64% of the tips.

 

Carioca 1 - 2025

  • 77% 54 / 70 Games

  • Home team wins 33.33%
  • Draws 37.04%
  • Away team wins 29.63%
  • Over 1.5 62.96%
  • Over 2.5 33.33%
  • Over 3.5 12.96%
  • Goals 107
  • Goals /match 1.98
  • Goals /match home 1
  • Goals /match away 0.98
  • Both teams score 42.59%
  • Goals after 80' 23.36%
View all
No tv schedule yet for US (change)

Search Tips